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• W2620208103 abstract "Abstract The relative influences of tectonics, continental weathering and seafloor weathering in controlling the geological carbon cycle are unknown. Here we develop a new carbon cycle model that explicitly captures the kinetics of seafloor weathering to investigate carbon fluxes and the evolution of atmospheric CO 2 and ocean pH since 100 Myr ago. We compare model outputs to proxy data, and rigorously constrain model parameters using Bayesian inverse methods. Assuming our forward model is an accurate representation of the carbon cycle, to fit proxies the temperature dependence of continental weathering must be weaker than commonly assumed. We find that 15–31 °C (1 σ ) surface warming is required to double the continental weathering flux, versus 3–10 °C in previous work. In addition, continental weatherability has increased 1.7–3.3 times since 100 Myr ago, demanding explanation by uplift and sea-level changes. The average Earth system climate sensitivity is Equation missing<!-- image only, no MathML or LaTex --> K (1 σ ) per CO 2 doubling, which is notably higher than fast-feedback estimates. These conclusions are robust to assumptions about outgassing, modern fluxes and seafloor weathering kinetics." @default.
• W2620208103 created "2017-06-05" @default.
• W2620208103 creator A5021147042 @default.
• W2620208103 creator A5033556543 @default.
• W2620208103 date "2017-05-22" @default.
• W2620208103 modified "2023-10-01" @default.
• W2620208103 title "Constraining climate sensitivity and continental versus seafloor weathering using an inverse geological carbon cycle model" @default.
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• W2620208103 doi "https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms15423" @default.
• W2620208103 hasPubMedCentralId "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/5458154" @default.
• W2620208103 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28530231" @default.
• W2620208103 hasPublicationYear "2017" @default.
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