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- W2624321560 abstract "A country is said to be a crisis when the financial system is experiencing a disruption that affects systems that can not function efficiently. The performance efficiency of macroeconomic indicators especially in imports and exports can be used to detect the financial crisis in Indonesia. Based on the import and export indicators from 1987 to 2015, the movement of these indicators can be modelled using SWARCH three states. The results showed that SWARCH (3,1) model was able to detect the crisis that occurred in Indonesia in 1997 and 2008. Using this model, it can be concluded that Indonesia is prone to financial crisis in 2016." @default.
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- W2624321560 date "2017-06-01" @default.
- W2624321560 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W2624321560 title "Markov Switching Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (SWARCH) Model to Detect Financial Crisis in Indonesia Based on Import and Export Indicators" @default.
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- W2624321560 doi "https://doi.org/10.1088/1742-6596/855/1/012048" @default.
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