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• W2774407493 abstract "It is paradoxical that authoritarian leaders often hold power for long periods of time, despite their states being plagued with rebellion. Scholarship has argued the practice of coup-proofing is potentially responsible for this trend. However, though regular armed forces are often allowed to whither when coup-proofing, states often retain substantial capabilities in the form of well-armed and well-trained coup-proofing units. This article argues that coup-proofing is more likely to contribute to rebellion when leaders are hesitant to deploy their coup-proofing units: when coup risk is high. Using a global sample of authoritarian regimes for the years 1971–2011, tests indicate that heavily coup-proofed regimes do in fact see a considerable increase in civil war likelihood when the risk of a coup is high but see no change in conflict propensity when coup risk is low." @default.
• W2774407493 created "2017-12-22" @default.
• W2774407493 creator A5085294961 @default.
• W2774407493 date "2017-12-04" @default.
• W2774407493 modified "2023-10-10" @default.
• W2774407493 title "Leader Survival Strategies and the Onset of Civil Conflict: A Coup-Proofing Paradox" @default.
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• W2774407493 doi "https://doi.org/10.1177/0095327x17728493" @default.
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