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- W2789477917 abstract "We investigate the hot hand hypothesis in professional darts in a near-ideal setting with minimal to no interaction between players. Considering almost one year of tournament data, corresponding to 167,492 dart throws in total, we use state-space models to investigate serial dependence in throwing performance. In our models, a latent state process serves as a proxy for a player's underlying ability, and we use autoregressive processes to model how this process evolves over time. We find a strong but short-lived serial dependence in the latent state process, thus providing evidence for the existence of the hot hand." @default.
- W2789477917 created "2018-03-29" @default.
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- W2789477917 date "2019-11-07" @default.
- W2789477917 modified "2023-10-15" @default.
- W2789477917 title "The hot hand in professional darts" @default.
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- W2789477917 doi "https://doi.org/10.1111/rssa.12527" @default.
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