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• W2791678231 abstract "We show that the widely used concordance index for time to event outcome is not proper when interest is in predicting a $t$-year risk of an event, for example 10-year mortality. In the situation with a fixed prediction horizon, the concordance index can be higher for a misspecified model than for a correctly specified model. Impropriety happens because the concordance index assesses the order of the event times and not the order of the event status at the prediction horizon. The time-dependent area under the receiver operating characteristic curve does not have this problem and is proper in this context." @default.
• W2791678231 created "2018-03-29" @default.
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• W2791678231 date "2018-02-16" @default.
• W2791678231 modified "2023-10-14" @default.
• W2791678231 title "The c-index is not proper for the evaluation of $t$-year predicted risks" @default.
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• W2791678231 doi "https://doi.org/10.1093/biostatistics/kxy006" @default.
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