FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2809675221> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W2809675221 endingPage "393" @default.
• W2809675221 startingPage "384" @default.
• W2809675221 abstract "Direct health effects of extreme temperatures are a significant environmental health problem in Lithuania, and could worsen further under climate change. This paper attempts to describe the change in environmental temperature conditions that the urban population of Vilnius could experience under climate change, and the effects such change could have on excess heat-related and cold-related mortality in two future periods within the 21st century.We modelled the urban climate of Vilnius for the summer and winter seasons during a sample period (2009-2015) and projected summertime and wintertime daily temperatures for two prospective periods, one in the near (2030-2045) and one in the far future (2085-2100), under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5. We then analysed the historical relationship between temperature and mortality for the period 2009-2015, and estimated the projected mortality in the near future and far future periods under a changing climate and population, assuming alternatively no acclimatisation and acclimatisation to heat and cold based on a constant-percentile threshold temperature.During the sample period 2009-2015 in summertime we observed an increase in daily mortality from a maximum daily temperature of 30 °C (the 96th percentile of the series), with an average of around 7 deaths per year. Under a no acclimatisation scenario, annual average heat-related mortality would rise to 24 deaths/year (95% CI: 8.4-38.4) in the near future and to 46 deaths/year (95% CI: 16.4-74.4) in the far future. Under a heat acclimatisation scenario, mortality would not increase significantly in the near or in the far future. Regarding wintertime cold-related mortality in the sample period 2009-2015, we observed increased mortality on days on which the minimum daily temperature fell below - 12 °C (the 7th percentile of the series), with an average of around 10 deaths a year. Keeping the threshold temperature constant, annual average cold-related mortality would decrease markedly in the near future, to 5 deaths/year (95% CI: 0.8-7.9) and even more in the far future, down to 0.44 deaths/year (95% C: 0.1-0.8). Assuming a middle ground between the acclimatisation and non-acclimatisation scenarios, the decrease in cold-related mortality will not compensate the increase in heat-related mortality.Thermal extremes, both heat and cold, constitute a serious public health threat in Vilnius, and in a changing climate the decrease in mortality attributable to cold will not compensate for the increase in mortality attributable to heat. Study results reinforce the notion that public health prevention against thermal extremes should be designed as a dynamic, adaptive process from the inception." @default.
• W2809675221 created "2018-06-29" @default.
• W2809675221 creator A5006647674 @default.
• W2809675221 creator A5006930830 @default.
• W2809675221 creator A5007396300 @default.
• W2809675221 creator A5010399157 @default.
• W2809675221 creator A5012751198 @default.
• W2809675221 creator A5043062064 @default.
• W2809675221 creator A5051881512 @default.
• W2809675221 creator A5053878910 @default.
• W2809675221 creator A5054564341 @default.
• W2809675221 creator A5077514981 @default.
• W2809675221 date "2018-10-01" @default.
• W2809675221 modified "2023-09-28" @default.
• W2809675221 title "Cold-related mortality vs heat-related mortality in a changing climate: A case study in Vilnius (Lithuania)" @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1482547378 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1529343221 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1592099504 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1645996235 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1847316973 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1880026656 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1967251437 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1967921852 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1970787695 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1973744987 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1978708161 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1979615940 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1984235362 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1984310463 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1985818700 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1987925218 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1988050208 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1991675802 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W1992556783 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2013393935 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2018463907 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2027267727 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2034397952 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2042372649 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2046639256 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2048316606 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2053428133 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2057583211 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2059374659 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2067642690 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2074027076 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2078712428 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2087064660 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2089454147 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2090556102 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2102781323 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2108319391 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2111348712 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2118011760 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2125307813 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2141442289 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2157577394 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2162775913 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2180978600 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2211518460 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2365322292 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2419312094 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2538519246 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2751760100 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2769759576 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W2777150083 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W56210718 @default.
• W2809675221 cites W625160525 @default.
• W2809675221 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envres.2018.06.001" @default.
• W2809675221 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/29936286" @default.
• W2809675221 hasPublicationYear "2018" @default.
• W2809675221 type Work @default.
• W2809675221 sameAs 2809675221 @default.
• W2809675221 citedByCount "32" @default.
• W2809675221 countsByYear W28096752212019 @default.
• W2809675221 countsByYear W28096752212020 @default.
• W2809675221 countsByYear W28096752212021 @default.
• W2809675221 countsByYear W28096752212022 @default.
• W2809675221 countsByYear W28096752212023 @default.
• W2809675221 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W2809675221 hasAuthorship W2809675221A5006647674 @default.
• W2809675221 hasAuthorship W2809675221A5006930830 @default.
• W2809675221 hasAuthorship W2809675221A5007396300 @default.
• W2809675221 hasAuthorship W2809675221A5010399157 @default.
• W2809675221 hasAuthorship W2809675221A5012751198 @default.
• W2809675221 hasAuthorship W2809675221A5043062064 @default.
• W2809675221 hasAuthorship W2809675221A5051881512 @default.
• W2809675221 hasAuthorship W2809675221A5053878910 @default.
• W2809675221 hasAuthorship W2809675221A5054564341 @default.
• W2809675221 hasAuthorship W2809675221A5077514981 @default.
• W2809675221 hasBestOaLocation W28096752212 @default.
• W2809675221 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
• W2809675221 hasConcept C122048520 @default.
• W2809675221 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
• W2809675221 hasConcept C132651083 @default.
• W2809675221 hasConcept C144024400 @default.
• W2809675221 hasConcept C149923435 @default.
• W2809675221 hasConcept C168754636 @default.

• next