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• W2884629410 abstract "Food insecurity can be directly exacerbated by climate change due to crop-production-related impacts of warmer and drier conditions that are expected in important agricultural regions1–3. However, efforts to mitigate climate change through comprehensive, economy-wide GHG emissions reductions may also negatively affect food security, due to indirect impacts on prices and supplies of key agricultural commodities4–6. Here we conduct a multiple model assessment on the combined effects of climate change and climate mitigation efforts on agricultural commodity prices, dietary energy availability and the population at risk of hunger. A robust finding is that by 2050, stringent climate mitigation policy, if implemented evenly across all sectors and regions, would have a greater negative impact on global hunger and food consumption than the direct impacts of climate change. The negative impacts would be most prevalent in vulnerable, low-income regions such as sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia, where food security problems are already acute. Economy-wide GHG emissions reductions may negatively affect food security. Stringent mitigation policies, modelled as carbon prices, are shown to lead to an increase in production costs, food prices and the population’s risk of hunger." @default.
• W2884629410 created "2018-08-03" @default.
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• W2884629410 date "2018-07-30" @default.
• W2884629410 modified "2023-10-10" @default.
• W2884629410 title "Risk of increased food insecurity under stringent global climate change mitigation policy" @default.
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• W2884629410 doi "https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-018-0230-x" @default.
• W2884629410 hasPublicationYear "2018" @default.
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