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- W2889601515 endingPage "3282" @default.
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- W2889601515 abstract "Abstract As the world's population increases, so will the demand for food and timber resources. Though carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) fertilization and, to a lesser extent, nitrogen (N) deposition are expected to increase future resource production, changes in ozone (O 3 ) and climate have the potential to decrease production due to increased phytotoxic damage, drought, and heat stress. To determine how crop and timber production may change in the future, we use the Community Land Model version 4.5 with prognostic crops to simulate responses of wood biomass and crop yields to CO 2 , O 3 , N deposition, and climate under Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 forcings. Generally, rising CO 2 increases wood biomass and crop yields, while projected climate change causes decreases. Small projected changes in O 3 and N deposition do not strongly affect yields, though additional research is needed on future O 3 and N deposition trends and impacts. By the end of the 21st century, global wood biomass increases by ~16% due to the dominating impact of CO 2 . The positive effect of CO 2 on future crop yields is muted by the negative impacts of climate, with a ~5% net global increase. Future projections suggest that rice and wheat yields typically increase under the combination of future forcings, whereas soy and corn yields are regionally variable. While short‐term resource management strategies can benefit from planting heat‐tolerant species and cultivars, technological advances and intensification, among other management strategies not included here, must be employed to meet the future demand for these resources." @default.
- W2889601515 created "2018-09-27" @default.
- W2889601515 creator A5003401963 @default.
- W2889601515 creator A5020883568 @default.
- W2889601515 creator A5047783540 @default.
- W2889601515 creator A5058371561 @default.
- W2889601515 date "2018-10-01" @default.
- W2889601515 modified "2023-10-13" @default.
- W2889601515 title "Changes in Wood Biomass and Crop Yields in Response to Projected CO <sub>2</sub> , O <sub>3</sub> , Nitrogen Deposition, and Climate" @default.
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- W2889601515 doi "https://doi.org/10.1029/2018jg004680" @default.