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• W2890220965 abstract "Abstract A composite-based statistical model utilizing Northern Hemisphere teleconnection patterns is developed to predict East Asian wintertime surface air temperature for lead times out to 6 weeks. The level of prediction is determined by using the Heidke skill score. The prediction skill of the statistical model is compared with that of hindcast simulations by a climate model, Global Seasonal Forecast System, version 5. When employed individually, three teleconnections (i.e., the east Atlantic/western Russian, Scandinavian, and polar/Eurasian teleconnection patterns) are found to provide skillful predictions for lead times beyond 4–5 weeks. When information from the teleconnections and the long-term linear trend are combined, the statistical model outperforms the climate model for lead times beyond 3 weeks, especially during those times when the teleconnections are in their active phases." @default.
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• W2890220965 date "2018-11-15" @default.
• W2890220965 modified "2023-10-13" @default.
• W2890220965 title "Subseasonal Prediction of Wintertime East Asian Temperature Based on Atmospheric Teleconnections" @default.
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• W2890220965 doi "https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-17-0811.1" @default.
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