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• W2890425574 abstract "The forecasting of the future growth of world population is of critical importance to anticipate and address a wide range of global challenges. The United Nations produces forecasts of fertility and world population every two years. As part of these forecasts, they model fertility levels in post-demographic transition countries as tending toward a long-term mean, leading to forecasts of flat or declining population in these countries. We substitute this assumption of constant long-term fertility with a dynamic model, theoretically founded in evolutionary biology, with heritable fertility. Rather than stabilizing around a long-term level for post-demographic transition countries, fertility tends to increase as children from larger families represent a larger share of the population and partly share their parents' trait of having more offspring. Our results suggest that world population will grow larger in the future than currently anticipated." @default.
• W2890425574 created "2018-09-27" @default.
• W2890425574 creator A5040834324 @default.
• W2890425574 creator A5068001028 @default.
• W2890425574 date "2019-01-01" @default.
• W2890425574 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
• W2890425574 title "The heritability of fertility makes world population stabilization unlikely in the foreseeable future" @default.
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• W2890425574 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.evolhumbehav.2018.09.001" @default.
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