FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2892969193> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W2892969193 abstract "An adequate forecasting model of mortality that allows an analysis of different population changes is a topic of interest for countries in demographic transition. Phenomena such as the reduction of mortality, ageing, and the increase in life expectancy are extremely useful in the planning of public policies that seek to promote the economic and social development of countries. To our knowledge, this paper is one of the first to evaluate the performance of mortality forecasting models applied to abridged life tables.Select a mortality model that best describes and forecasts the characteristics of mortality in Colombia when only abridged life tables are available.We used Colombian abridged life tables for the period 1973-2005 with data from the Latin American Human Mortality Database. Different mortality models to deal with modeling and forecasting probability of death are presented in this study. For the comparison of mortality models, two criteria were analyzed: graphical residuals analysis and the hold-out method to evaluate the predictive performance of the models, applying different goodness of fit measures.Only three models did not have convergence problems: Lee-Carter (LC), Lee-Carter with two terms (LC2), and Age-Period-Cohort (APC) models. All models fit better for women, the improvement of LC2 on LC is mostly for central ages for men, and the APC model's fit is worse than the other two. The analysis of the standardized deviance residuals allows us to deduce that the models that reasonably fit the Colombian mortality data are LC and LC2. The major residuals correspond to children's ages and later ages for both sexes.The LC and LC2 models present better goodness of fit, identifying the principal characteristics of mortality for Colombia.Mortality forecasting from abridged life tables by sex has clear added value for studying differences between developing countries and convergence/divergence of demographic changes." @default.
• W2892969193 created "2018-10-05" @default.
• W2892969193 creator A5002802388 @default.
• W2892969193 creator A5075037581 @default.
• W2892969193 creator A5088327874 @default.
• W2892969193 date "2018-10-01" @default.
• W2892969193 modified "2023-10-10" @default.
• W2892969193 title "Mortality forecasting in Colombia from abridged life tables by sex" @default.
• W2892969193 cites W1534596760 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W1561099643 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W1736335842 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W1963915199 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W1987939448 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W1993309193 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2009772318 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2039894069 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2040375181 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2050846110 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2051517631 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2057560640 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2085326800 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2120297822 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2126771422 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2139551138 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2143115331 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2218275946 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2476871721 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2485817813 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2595882584 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2604885462 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2606325882 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2734428913 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W2773410810 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W3125590267 @default.
• W2892969193 cites W4237010044 @default.
• W2892969193 doi "https://doi.org/10.1186/s41118-018-0038-6" @default.
• W2892969193 hasPubMedCentralId "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/6182348" @default.
• W2892969193 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/30363762" @default.
• W2892969193 hasPublicationYear "2018" @default.
• W2892969193 type Work @default.
• W2892969193 sameAs 2892969193 @default.
• W2892969193 citedByCount "7" @default.
• W2892969193 countsByYear W28929691932018 @default.
• W2892969193 countsByYear W28929691932020 @default.
• W2892969193 countsByYear W28929691932021 @default.
• W2892969193 countsByYear W28929691932022 @default.
• W2892969193 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W2892969193 hasAuthorship W2892969193A5002802388 @default.
• W2892969193 hasAuthorship W2892969193A5075037581 @default.
• W2892969193 hasAuthorship W2892969193A5088327874 @default.
• W2892969193 hasBestOaLocation W28929691931 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C132480984 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C133925201 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C144024400 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C149923435 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C160050368 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C177599991 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C179755657 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C2908647359 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C56479603 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConcept C61189158 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C105795698 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C132480984 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C133925201 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C144024400 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C149782125 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C149923435 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C160050368 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C177599991 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C179755657 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C205649164 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C2908647359 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C33923547 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C56479603 @default.
• W2892969193 hasConceptScore W2892969193C61189158 @default.
• W2892969193 hasFunder F4320321837 @default.
• W2892969193 hasIssue "1" @default.
• W2892969193 hasLocation W28929691931 @default.
• W2892969193 hasLocation W28929691932 @default.
• W2892969193 hasLocation W28929691933 @default.
• W2892969193 hasLocation W28929691934 @default.
• W2892969193 hasLocation W28929691935 @default.
• W2892969193 hasOpenAccess W2892969193 @default.
• W2892969193 hasPrimaryLocation W28929691931 @default.
• W2892969193 hasRelatedWork W2067182892 @default.
• W2892969193 hasRelatedWork W2213541780 @default.
• W2892969193 hasRelatedWork W2283292951 @default.
• W2892969193 hasRelatedWork W2607255329 @default.
• W2892969193 hasRelatedWork W2892969193 @default.
• W2892969193 hasRelatedWork W371930131 @default.
• W2892969193 hasRelatedWork W4283327264 @default.
• W2892969193 hasRelatedWork W1779730200 @default.
• W2892969193 hasRelatedWork W2279630198 @default.
• W2892969193 hasRelatedWork W2770795939 @default.
• W2892969193 hasVolume "74" @default.
• W2892969193 isParatext "false" @default.

• next