Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2893280222> ?p ?o ?g. }
- W2893280222 endingPage "89" @default.
- W2893280222 startingPage "89" @default.
- W2893280222 abstract "This study focusses on identifying a set of representative climate model projections for the Upper Indus Basin (UIB). Although a large number of General Circulation Models (GCM) predictor sets are available nowadays in the CMIP5 archive, the issue of their reliability for specific regions must still be confronted. This situation makes it imperative to sort out the most appropriate single or small-ensemble set of GCMs for the assessment of climate change impacts in a region. Here a set of different approaches is adopted and applied for the step-wise shortlisting and selection of appropriate climate models for the UIB under two RCPs: RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, based on: (a) range of projected mean changes, (b) range of projected extreme changes, and (c) skill in reproducing the past climate. Furthermore, because of higher uncertainties in climate projection for high mountainous regions like the UIB, a wider range of future GCM climate projections is considered by using all possible extreme future scenarios (wet-warm, wet-cold, dry-warm, dry-cold). Based on this two-fold procedure, a limited number of climate models is pre-selected, from of which the final selection is done by assigning ranks to the weighted score for each of the mentioned selection criteria. The dynamically downscaled climate projections from the Coordinated Regional Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX) available for the top-ranked GCMs are further statistically downscaled (bias-corrected) over the UIB. The downscaled projections up to the year 2100 indicate temperature increases ranging between 2.3 °C and 9.0 °C and precipitation changes that range from a slight annual increase of 2.2% under the drier scenarios to as high as 15.9% in the wet scenarios. Moreover, for all scenarios, future precipitation will be more extreme, as the probability of wet days will decrease, while, at the same time, precipitation intensities will increase. The spatial distribution of the downscaled predictors across the UIB also shows similar patterns for all scenarios, with a distinct precipitation decrease over the south-eastern parts of the basin, but an increase in the northeastern parts. These two features are particularly intense for the “Dry-Warm” and the “Median” scenarios over the late 21st century." @default.
- W2893280222 created "2018-10-05" @default.
- W2893280222 creator A5003587710 @default.
- W2893280222 creator A5067733701 @default.
- W2893280222 date "2018-11-14" @default.
- W2893280222 modified "2023-10-11" @default.
- W2893280222 title "Selecting and Downscaling a Set of Climate Models for Projecting Climatic Change for Impact Assessment in the Upper Indus Basin (UIB)" @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1524420836 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1652179195 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1672852929 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1791484930 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1796961055 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1947584208 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1965731662 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1967863463 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1968733917 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1974085096 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1978098673 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1983724666 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1988607146 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1990746299 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1991308688 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W1991779412 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2002123774 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2007463430 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2017559255 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2019097137 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2023796502 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2024966118 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2029503136 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2030854745 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2032943749 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2038244218 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2055695879 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2082359949 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2083410199 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2085585287 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2100489519 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2101542563 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2101735307 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2113951488 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2118975352 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2125980603 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2135725459 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2135921711 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2136979549 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2139536410 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2160270058 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2164473239 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2168945835 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2277669182 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2320145997 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2377071656 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2511626295 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2528017898 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2555442175 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2749545117 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2766597251 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W2776567945 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W340682928 @default.
- W2893280222 cites W4233101574 @default.
- W2893280222 doi "https://doi.org/10.3390/cli6040089" @default.
- W2893280222 hasPublicationYear "2018" @default.
- W2893280222 type Work @default.
- W2893280222 sameAs 2893280222 @default.
- W2893280222 citedByCount "21" @default.
- W2893280222 countsByYear W28932802222019 @default.
- W2893280222 countsByYear W28932802222020 @default.
- W2893280222 countsByYear W28932802222021 @default.
- W2893280222 countsByYear W28932802222022 @default.
- W2893280222 countsByYear W28932802222023 @default.
- W2893280222 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2893280222 hasAuthorship W2893280222A5003587710 @default.
- W2893280222 hasAuthorship W2893280222A5067733701 @default.
- W2893280222 hasBestOaLocation W28932802221 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C109007969 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C111368507 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C111874474 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C132651083 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C141452985 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C143742823 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C151730666 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C154945302 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C159985019 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C168754636 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C17744445 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C192562407 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C204323151 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C2778760939 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C3116431 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C41156917 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C49204034 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConcept C81917197 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConceptScore W2893280222C109007969 @default.
- W2893280222 hasConceptScore W2893280222C111368507 @default.