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• W2896751458 abstract "We demonstrate for the first time a direct oceanic link between climate-driven change in the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans and the circulation of the northwest European shelf seas. Downscaled scenarios show a shutdown of the exchange between the Atlantic and the North Sea and a substantial decrease in the circulation of the North Sea in the second half of the 21st century. The northern North Sea inflow decreases from 1.2–1.3 Sv (1 Sv = 106 m3/s) to 0.0–0.6 Sv with Atlantic water largely bypassing the North Sea. This is traced to changes in oceanic haline stratification and gyre structure and to a newly identified circulation-salinity feedback. The scenario presented here is of a novel potential future state for the North Sea, with wide-ranging environmental management and societal impacts. Specifically, the sea would become more estuarine and susceptible to anthropogenic influence with an enhanced risk of coastal eutrophication." @default.
• W2896751458 created "2018-10-26" @default.
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• W2896751458 date "2018-11-05" @default.
• W2896751458 modified "2023-10-16" @default.
• W2896751458 title "Climate-Driven Change in the North Atlantic and Arctic Oceans Can Greatly Reduce the Circulation of the North Sea" @default.
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• W2896751458 doi "https://doi.org/10.1029/2018gl078878" @default.
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