FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2896974429> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W2896974429 endingPage "440" @default.
• W2896974429 startingPage "421" @default.
• W2896974429 abstract "Abstract. Convection-permitting climate models have been recommended for use in projecting future changes in local-scale, short-duration rainfall extremes that are of the greatest relevance to engineering and infrastructure design, e.g., as commonly summarized in intensity–duration–frequency (IDF) curves. Based on thermodynamic arguments, it is expected that rainfall extremes will become more intense in the future. Recent evidence also suggests that shorter-duration extremes may intensify more than longer durations and that changes may depend on event rarity. Based on these general trends, will IDF curves shift upward and steepen under global warming? Will long-return-period extremes experience greater intensification than more common events? Projected changes in IDF curve characteristics are assessed based on sub-daily and daily outputs from historical and late 21st century pseudo-global-warming convection-permitting climate model simulations over North America. To make more efficient use of the short model integrations, a parsimonious generalized extreme value simple scaling (GEVSS) model is used to estimate historical and future IDF curves (1 to 24 h durations). Simulated historical sub-daily rainfall extremes are first evaluated against in situ observations and compared with two high-resolution observationally constrained gridded products. The climate model performs well, matching or exceeding performance of the gridded datasets. Next, inferences about future changes in GEVSS parameters are made using a Bayesian false discovery rate approach. Large portions of the domain experience significant increases in GEVSS location (>99 % of grid points), scale (>88 %), and scaling exponent (>39 %) parameters, whereas almost no significant decreases are projected to occur (<1 %, <5 %, and <5 % respectively). The result is that IDF curves tend to shift upward (increases in location and scale), and, with the exception of the eastern US, steepen (increases in scaling exponent), which leads to the largest increases in return levels for short-duration extremes. The projected increase in the GEVSS scaling exponent calls into question stationarity assumptions that form the basis for existing IDF curve projections that rely exclusively on simulations at the daily timescale. When changes in return levels are scaled according to local temperature change, median scaling rates, e.g., for the 10-year return level, are consistent with the Clausius–Clapeyron (CC) relation at 1 to 6 h durations, with sub-CC scaling at longer durations and modest super-CC scaling at sub-hourly durations. Further, spatially coherent but small increases in dispersion – the ratio of scale and location parameters – of the GEVSS distribution are found over more than half of the domain, providing some evidence for return period dependence of future changes in extreme rainfall." @default.
• W2896974429 created "2018-10-26" @default.
• W2896974429 creator A5065844059 @default.
• W2896974429 creator A5071398842 @default.
• W2896974429 date "2019-03-01" @default.
• W2896974429 modified "2023-10-15" @default.
• W2896974429 title "Projected intensification of sub-daily and daily rainfall extremes in convection-permitting climate model simulations over North America: implications for future intensity–duration–frequency curves" @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1500657154 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1590065089 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1773518713 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1831098712 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1862346859 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1884190228 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1896265161 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1907702319 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1976650623 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1984155095 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1985054565 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1999267907 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W1999483499 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2011819136 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2019840454 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2024966118 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2028925833 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2069750654 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2094356778 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2121745948 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2125905177 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2130091784 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2134426736 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2137354438 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2137928718 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2148195638 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2163085584 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2171238132 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2171692085 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2171984413 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2293053967 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2323056218 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2328573691 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2397311736 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2442518502 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2466335669 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2472132332 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2516236395 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2517044333 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2557422136 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2560442033 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2569308949 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2574027118 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2601622117 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2616665687 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2742211115 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2743641684 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2752487915 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2766809502 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2769491005 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2770430342 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2771159036 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2785425176 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2802609625 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2805262378 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2807238442 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2810041204 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2903858882 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W2951418525 @default.
• W2896974429 cites W3023338115 @default.
• W2896974429 doi "https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-421-2019" @default.
• W2896974429 hasPublicationYear "2019" @default.
• W2896974429 type Work @default.
• W2896974429 sameAs 2896974429 @default.
• W2896974429 citedByCount "31" @default.
• W2896974429 countsByYear W28969744292019 @default.
• W2896974429 countsByYear W28969744292020 @default.
• W2896974429 countsByYear W28969744292021 @default.
• W2896974429 countsByYear W28969744292022 @default.
• W2896974429 countsByYear W28969744292023 @default.
• W2896974429 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W2896974429 hasAuthorship W2896974429A5065844059 @default.
• W2896974429 hasAuthorship W2896974429A5071398842 @default.
• W2896974429 hasBestOaLocation W28969744291 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C111368507 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C112758219 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C124952713 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C132651083 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C142362112 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C153294291 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C166957645 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C168754636 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C2524010 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C2778755073 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C49204034 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C58640448 @default.
• W2896974429 hasConcept C74256435 @default.

• next