Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2897031124> ?p ?o ?g. }
- W2897031124 abstract "The Paris Agreement calls for efforts to limit anthropogenic global warming to less than 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels. However, natural internal variability may exacerbate anthropogenic warming to produce temporary excursions above 1.5 °C. Such excursions would not necessarily exceed the Paris Agreement, but would provide a warning that the threshold is being approached. Here we develop a new capability to predict the probability that global temperature will exceed 1.5 °C above preindustrial levels in the coming 5 years. For the period 2017 to 2021 we predict a 38% and 10% chance, respectively, of monthly or yearly temperatures exceeding 1.5 °C, with virtually no chance of the 5-year mean being above the threshold. Our forecasts will be updated annually to provide policy makers with advanced warning of the evolving probability and duration of future warming events." @default.
- W2897031124 created "2018-10-26" @default.
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- W2897031124 date "2018-11-04" @default.
- W2897031124 modified "2023-10-01" @default.
- W2897031124 title "Predicted Chance That Global Warming Will Temporarily Exceed 1.5 °C" @default.
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