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• W2898421666 abstract "In the current wave of renewed interest in conflict prevention, we argue that key lessons from 20 years of practice and research have not been learned yet. Official documents and parts of the literature are too often confined to a technocratic understanding of conflict prevention drawing on positivist conflict forecasting (science) and toolbox approaches to “what works” (craft). Moreover, wishful thinking affects the expected influence of external actors as well as warning-response dynamics within organizations. Drawing on extensive research we elaborate on how the “art” dimension of conflict prevention can advance research and practice of three important fields: forecasting and early warning, organizational and decision-making structures, and diplomacy and engagement strategies. The paper argues for paying closer attention to informal, individual, and political dimensions of prevention and a more fine-grained understanding of how art, craft, and science approaches can complement each other." @default.
• W2898421666 created "2018-11-02" @default.
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• W2898421666 date "2018-10-25" @default.
• W2898421666 modified "2023-10-11" @default.
• W2898421666 title "Is conflict prevention a science, craft, or art? Moving beyond technocracy and wishful thinking" @default.
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• W2898421666 doi "https://doi.org/10.1080/23340460.2018.1533387" @default.
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