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- W290657178 abstract "1. INTRODUCTION The paper examines the changes that have occurred in trends relating to marriage, fertility, and the family in Ireland. The main data sources used are the annual vital statistics on marriages and births and the five yearly Censuses of Population. Most of the interest will focus on more recent periods. However, in order to place the data for these recent periods in perspective, a longer time horizon will be chosen where appropriate. The paper is in five sections. The first section looks at marriage trends with particular emphasis on the extent to which the average age at marriage for both brides and grooms has been increasing in recent years. Marriage dissolution is approximated using Census data on persons who classify themselves as separated or divorced. The next section of the paper examines changing fertility trends including the changes that have occurred in age specific and total fertility rates--the so-called time-period measures. The total fertility rate is decomposed into a tempo and quantum effect to remove the effect of changes in the timing of births. Recent census data on the number of children born to women are highlighted and comparisons drawn with corresponding 1971 and 1981 data. A measure of the number of childless women is also derived from these sources. The third section covers the changing face of the family in Ireland. The advent of cohabiting couples is commented on while results from the most recent census give a preliminary indication of the extent of reconstituted families. Recent immigration trends are also looked at to determine what effect they may have had on the make-up of the family in Ireland. The fourth section puts the changes occurring in Ireland in a European context. Census data for years around 2000 are used for this purpose. The final section of the paper attempts to draw some tentative conclusions. 2. MARRIAGES The most remarkable feature of the recently published statistical release on marriages (CSO, 2007a) is the extent to which couples are marrying at older ages than heretofore. In the ten years to 2005, the average age of grooms increased from 30 to 33.1 years while over the same period the average age of brides increased from 28.1 to 31 years. While there was an increase of 5,751 (36.9%) in the annual number of marriages over the period 1995-2005, this has to be viewed in the light of changes in the underlying population and the effect which the availability of divorce since 1997 has had on the figures, especially those for recent years. Firstly, population: the number of males aged 25-34 increased by 37.3 per cent between 1996 and 2006 compared with a rise of 30.1 per cent for females in the same age groups. Of the total of 21,355 marriages registered in 2005, 67.3 per cent of the grooms and 71.2 per cent of the brides were aged 25 to 34 years. So, the increase in the number of marriages registered between the mid-1990s and the mid-2000s was of the same order of magnitude as the increase in the underlying population. Regarding the impact of divorce on the marriage numbers, approximately 5.6 per cent of brides and 6.5 per cent of grooms in 2005 were remarrying following divorce. Therefore, when allowance is made for the underlying population change and the effects of remarriage following divorce the increase in marriages is not as pronounced as it appears at first sight. A more refined measure of the evolution of marriages can be got by focusing on first marriages while taking account of changes in the relevant underlying population of males and females. In particular for females, the female first marriage rate is obtained by summing the age-specific first marriage rates for women aged 15 to 49 years. A twenty five-year perspective is taken in Figure 1, which also shows the average age of the bride at first marriage. (1) [Figure 1 OMITTED] The graph shows that apart from the earlier period the average age of brides at first marriage has increased steadily from 24 years in 1980 to 30. …" @default.
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- W290657178 date "2007-01-01" @default.
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- W290657178 title "Marriage, fertility and the family in Ireland ? a statistical perspective" @default.
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