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- W2912284523 abstract "Abstract. This study provides some new insights into earthquake forecasting models to the regions with subduction systems, including the depth-component for forecasting grids and time-dependent factors. To manifest the importance of depth-component, I incorporate three-dimensional grids into forecasting approaches and compare with those with two-dimensional cells. Through applications to the two subduction regions, Ryukyu and Kanto, the approaches with three-dimensional grids always obtain better forecasting ability. I thus confirm the importance of depth-dependency for forecasting, especially for the applications to a subduction environment or a region with non-vertical seismogenic structures. In addition, I discuss the role of time-dependent factors for forecasting models. I conclude that time-dependency becomes crucial only when significant seismicity rate change follows a large earthquake. The insights into the applications of forecasting models could provide key information regarding seismic and tsunami hazard assessments." @default.
- W2912284523 created "2019-02-21" @default.
- W2912284523 creator A5000074647 @default.
- W2912284523 date "2015-12-18" @default.
- W2912284523 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W2912284523 title "Importance of three-dimensional grids and time-dependent factors for the applications of earthquake forecasting models to subduction environments" @default.
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- W2912284523 doi "https://doi.org/10.5194/nhessd-3-7527-2015" @default.
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