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- W2912369715 abstract "Evidence suggests that potential growth and the neutral rate co-move in advanced economies. In contrast, this co-movement is not observed in emerging economies. We argue that capital flows may explain this behavior. We focus on Mexico, a benchmark emerging economy, and find that capital inflows may account for a temporary reduction in the Mexican neutral rate after the global financial crisis. These inflows surged during the implementation of unconventional monetary policies in advanced economies. In turn, low-frequency changes in the neutral rate may be attributed to increasing domestic savings, demographics, and a decreasing global long-run real interest rate. These results are largely consistent with other studies showing that the neutral rate has decreased in the last 25 years in advanced and emerging economies." @default.
- W2912369715 created "2019-02-21" @default.
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- W2912369715 date "2018-11-01" @default.
- W2912369715 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W2912369715 title "What Determines the Neutral Rate of Interest in an Emerging Economy?" @default.
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- W2912369715 doi "https://doi.org/10.36095/banxico/di.2018.22" @default.
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