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- W2912872330 abstract "How do some small, proto-insurgent groups grow to become large revolutionary organizations composed of thousands of members while others are easily destroyed by government counterinsurgency (COIN) campaigns? I argue that the development or decline of proto-insurgencies is largely dependent on the intersection of the strategic choices made by both governments and nascent rebel groups. In my framework, both governments and proto-insurgent organizations can choose between three primary strategies intended to advance their interests: The first is a hearts-and-minds campaign intended to obtain popular support through political reform and the provision of public goods to citizens. The second is a targeted military campaign, in which armed soldiers from one side target only their adversary’s armed combatants. Finally, either or both combatants can employ a terrorist campaign by threatening or attacking innocent civilians in order to deter them from supporting the other side or to coerce them into providing tactical intelligence or material assistance. A new data-set compiled for this inquiry maps the strategy alterations used by more than 150 governments and proto-insurgencies. It also tracks the change in size of these groups and suggests that they generally grow as the result of two types of strategic intersection:1) When rebels select a hearts-and-minds strategy and governments respond with a strategy of terrorism; 2) When rebels select a strategy of terrorism and governments respond with a hearts-and minds strategy." @default.
- W2912872330 created "2019-02-21" @default.
- W2912872330 creator A5064554010 @default.
- W2912872330 date "2010-01-01" @default.
- W2912872330 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W2912872330 title "Strategic Intersection, Terrorism, and the Growth of Proto-Insurgencies" @default.
- W2912872330 hasPublicationYear "2010" @default.
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