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- W2916612654 abstract "This paper presents new tests and estimates of the Phillips trade-off in the Euro Area, carried out in a unobserved components model with possibly non-linear Phillips and Okun relations, using quarterly aggregate data for the period 1970:I-2001:II. A concept of forward-looking near-rational expectations is introduced in the model, improving on the contradiction between rational expectations and evidence of inflation inertia. The Phillips curve turns out to be linear and its trade-off statistically significant, while non-linearity shows up in the Okun relation. The trend-cycle decompositions capture the main features of the Euro Area recent macroeconomic record." @default.
- W2916612654 created "2019-03-02" @default.
- W2916612654 creator A5071843734 @default.
- W2916612654 creator A5087197484 @default.
- W2916612654 date "2002-01-01" @default.
- W2916612654 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W2916612654 title "Trend, cycle, and non-linear trade-off in the Euro Area 1970-2001" @default.
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