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- W2917085655 abstract "This paper presents a hybrid method to predict a day-ahead solar irradiation curve, under extreme meteorological phenomena (Zonda, North, South winds), existing in the province of San Juan -Argentina. The proposed method is based on an Artificial Neuronal Network (ANN) which is trained with a data-set filtered by the environmental variables that characterize the mentioned phenomena. A previously calculated ideal solar irradiation curve is modified from the forecasts generated by the ANN. This is a blended method between statistical learning methods and Numerical Weather Predictions methods (NWP) typically used to improve upon the raw forecast of a NWP model. A reduction of the uncertainty on the planning of photovoltaic plants dispatch in the province of San Juan while the meteorological phenomena take place, can be achieved with the results of this forecasting method.Este articulo presenta un metodo hibrido para predecir una curva de radiacion solar para el dia siguiente, considerando la ocurrencia de fenomenos meteorologicos extremos (vientos Zonda, Norte y Sur) presentes en la provincia de San Juan -Argentina. El metodo propuesto se basa en el calculo preliminar de una curva de radiacion solar considerando cielo despejado, la que se obtiene a traves de un metodo fisico de prediccion del clima (NWP). Posteriormente, la curva preliminar se modifica a partir de los pronosticos generados por una Red Neuronal Artificial (ANN) que esta entrenada con un conjunto de datos filtrados por las variables ambientales que caracterizan los fenomenos mencionados. Con los resultados de este trabajo se puede lograr una reduccion en la incertidumbre de pronostico de la radiacion solar para el dia siguiente. La herramienta puede ser de utilidad para la planificacion del despacho, el analisis del funcionamiento de la red, etc., en particular, la operacion de las plantas fotovoltaicas de la provincia de San Juan, cuando se presentan los fenomenos meteorologicos estudiados." @default.
- W2917085655 created "2019-03-02" @default.
- W2917085655 creator A5003541915 @default.
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- W2917085655 date "2018-06-01" @default.
- W2917085655 modified "2023-10-08" @default.
- W2917085655 title "Solar irradiation forecasting through a hybrid method, considering zonda, north and south winds in San Juan, Argentina" @default.
- W2917085655 cites W1994295547 @default.
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- W2917085655 doi "https://doi.org/10.1109/argencon.2018.8646300" @default.
- W2917085655 hasPublicationYear "2018" @default.
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