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- W2927486377 abstract "Since mortality is affected by innumerable factors in society, an inter-disciplinary approach seems most appropriate. My contribution and point of departure starts from an epidemiological perspective and from the overall objective of the Swedish Centre for Epidemiology, i.e. to monitor public health in Sweden. An advantage of epidemiology is the close link to public health and medicine as well as its focus on analyses of risk factors and the search for causal chains between risk factors, diseases and mortality. Mortality forecasting is a well-established discipline in demography, but maybe less developed within epidemiology. Still, there have been attempts to forecast mortality within the field of epidemiology (see e.g. Wilhelmsen et al. 2004; Gunning-Schepers 1989; Gunning-Schepers et al. 1989; Kruijshaar et al. 2002; Conroy et al. 2003). Usually, epidemiologists have focused on estimating mortality for specific causes of death (Wilhelmsen et al. 2004; Conroy et al. 2003) but there are also attempts to predict total mortality (Gunning-Schepers 1989; Kruijshaar et al. 2002). A common application has been to predict coronary heart mortality based on data on risk factors, e.g. smoking, level of cholesterol and blood pressure in the population (Wilhelmsen et al. 2004; Conroy et al. 2003). Knowledge of risk factor patterns is therefore an essential element in epidemiology. The risk factor approach will be discussed later. First, some comments on the outline of this paper." @default.
- W2927486377 created "2019-04-11" @default.
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- W2927486377 date "2019-01-01" @default.
- W2927486377 modified "2023-10-10" @default.
- W2927486377 title "Forecasting Life Expectancy and Mortality in Sweden – Some Comments on Methodological Problems and Potential Approaches" @default.
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- W2927486377 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-05075-7_19" @default.
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