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• W2942978440 abstract "This paper offers some thoughts on the use of macroeconomic and financial forecasts in monetary and fiscal policy. It stresses the role of nowcasting in constructing good forecasts: most of the value added in macreoeconomic forecasts comes from getting a good approximation to the jumping-off point. Some specific applications are discussed: long-range debt/GDP projections and forecasting recessions using asset prices. I also discuss the construction and use of density forecasts." @default.
• W2942978440 created "2019-05-09" @default.
• W2942978440 creator A5038088103 @default.
• W2942978440 date "2019-07-01" @default.
• W2942978440 modified "2023-09-30" @default.
• W2942978440 title "Some observations on forecasting and policy" @default.
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• W2942978440 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijforecast.2019.04.003" @default.
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