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- W2945508051 abstract "Retrospective reflections are provided on the papers “Why Propensities Cannot Be Probabilities,” “Some Considerations on Conditional Chances,” and “Probability Theory and Its Models” by Paul Humphreys. A discussion of whether probability theory is a mathematical or an empirical theory is provided and the point made that mathematical theories are not revised but replaced when used as models of empirical phenomena. Probability theory qua formal theory has a mathematical interpretation but any empirical interpretation, contra Quine, is completely detachable. A replacement for Quine’s web metaphor is suggested. The author assesses Donald Gillies’ response to Humphreys’ Paradox, and reasons not to abandon the single case propensity interpretation of probabilities are given. Responses to the paradox by Mauricio Suárez, Isabelle Drouet, Leslie Ballentine, and David Miller are discussed, and an argument given that the temporal evolution approach is primary for absolute propensities." @default.
- W2945508051 created "2019-05-29" @default.
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- W2945508051 date "2019-03-21" @default.
- W2945508051 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2945508051 title "Probability and Propensities" @default.
- W2945508051 doi "https://doi.org/10.1093/oso/9780199334872.003.0015" @default.
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