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- W2948967846 abstract "Abstract In this study, we construct three proxies for tail risk observed in 39 markets between 1980 and 2015 to examine its effects on global pricing: TRKJ, following Kelly and Jiang (2014), TRVZ, following Van Oordt and Zhou (2016), and TRHL, following Huang et al. (2012) and Long et al. (2018). Both the portfolio analyses and Fama-MacBeth regressions show that TRKJ has no pricing effect in the international markets, but both TRVZ and TRHL has a negative relationship with future stock returns, especially in developed markets, which is inconsistent with common sense assumptions regarding the risk-return tradeoff. This negative relationship can be explained by the “idiosyncratic volatility puzzle” in the international markets other than the U.S. market. Moreover, a detailed analysis of the U.S. market suggests that the negative tail-risk–stock returns relationship in that market cannot be explained by the momentum effect, skewness, heterogeneous beliefs, the liquidity factor, leverage, or profitability, leaving an unsolved puzzle, which we call the “tail risk puzzle”" @default.
- W2948967846 created "2019-06-14" @default.
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- W2948967846 date "2019-09-01" @default.
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- W2948967846 title "Tail risk and expected stock returns around the world" @default.
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- W2948967846 doi "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.pacfin.2019.06.001" @default.
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