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- W2949227310 abstract "The Zika virus has emerged as a global public health concern. Its rapid geographic expansion is attributed to the success of Aedes mosquito vectors, but local epidemiological drivers are still poorly understood. Feira de Santana played a pivotal role in the Chikungunya epidemic in Brazil and was one of the first urban centres to report Zika infections. Using a climate-driven transmission model and notified Zika case data, we show that a low observation rate and high vectorial capacity translated into a significant attack rate during the 2015 outbreak, with a subsequent decline in 2016 and fade-out in 2017 due to herd-immunity. We find a potential Zika-related, low risk for microcephaly per pregnancy, but with significant public health impact given high attack rates. The balance between the loss of herd-immunity and viral re-importation will dictate future transmission potential of Zika in this urban setting." @default.
- W2949227310 created "2019-06-27" @default.
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- W2949227310 date "2017-09-09" @default.
- W2949227310 modified "2023-10-16" @default.
- W2949227310 title "Epidemiological and ecological determinants of Zika virus transmission in an urban setting" @default.
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- W2949227310 doi "https://doi.org/10.7554/elife.29820" @default.
- W2949227310 hasPubMedCentralId "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/5638629" @default.
- W2949227310 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/28887877" @default.
- W2949227310 hasPublicationYear "2017" @default.
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