FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2949838081> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W2949838081 abstract "Abstract Biodiversity forecasts are important for conservation, management, and evaluating how well current models characterize natural systems. While the number of forecasts for biodiversity is increasing, there is little information available on how well these forecasts work. Most biodiversity forecasts are not evaluated to determine how well they predict future diversity, fail to account for uncertainty, and do not use time-series data that captures the actual dynamics being studied. We addressed these limitations by using best practices to explore our ability to forecast the species richness of breeding birds in North America. We used hindcasting to evaluate six different modeling approaches for predicting richness. Hindcasts for each method were evaluated annually for a decade at 1,237 sites distributed throughout the continental United States. All models explained more than 50% of the variance in richness, but none of them consistently outperformed a baseline model that predicted constant richness at each site. The best practices implemented in this study directly influenced the forecasts and evaluations. Stacked species distribution models and “naive” forecasts produced poor estimates of uncertainty and accounting for this resulted in these models dropping in the relative performance compared to other models. Accounting for observer effects improved model performance overall, but also changed the rank ordering of models because it did not improve the accuracy of the “naive” model. Considering the forecast horizon revealed that the prediction accuracy decreased across all models as the time horizon of the forecast increased. To facilitate the rapid improvement of biodiversity forecasts, we emphasize the value of specific best practices in making forecasts and evaluating forecasting methods." @default.
• W2949838081 created "2019-06-27" @default.
• W2949838081 creator A5035908578 @default.
• W2949838081 creator A5056922384 @default.
• W2949838081 creator A5060079821 @default.
• W2949838081 date "2017-09-20" @default.
• W2949838081 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
• W2949838081 title "Forecasting biodiversity in breeding birds using best practices" @default.
• W2949838081 cites W1549716303 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W1670013296 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W1789155650 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W1848926566 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W1906079673 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W1920817623 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W1964344407 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W1969536902 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W1974424100 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W1982970543 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W1995091554 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2006627953 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2081957654 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2083680853 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2093858899 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2109367466 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2114548855 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2116159613 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2119204307 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2128302979 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2130653110 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2135695572 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2139086914 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2141049972 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2143580030 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2148670045 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2148769136 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2149507322 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2151877045 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2155617114 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2155986656 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2159720663 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2161793075 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2169286869 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2170813576 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2295721025 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2510796315 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2539401555 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2575396771 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2577537660 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2612312797 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2618878836 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2770828413 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2787170813 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2787738191 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W2953106474 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W34105695 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W4230096730 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W4237677063 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W4249890794 @default.
• W2949838081 cites W4302781015 @default.
• W2949838081 doi "https://doi.org/10.1101/191130" @default.
• W2949838081 hasPublicationYear "2017" @default.
• W2949838081 type Work @default.
• W2949838081 sameAs 2949838081 @default.
• W2949838081 citedByCount "1" @default.
• W2949838081 countsByYear W29498380812018 @default.
• W2949838081 crossrefType "posted-content" @default.
• W2949838081 hasAuthorship W2949838081A5035908578 @default.
• W2949838081 hasAuthorship W2949838081A5056922384 @default.
• W2949838081 hasAuthorship W2949838081A5060079821 @default.
• W2949838081 hasBestOaLocation W29498380811 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C107826830 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C121955636 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C126255220 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C12725497 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C130217890 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C153294291 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C18903297 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C196083921 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C28761237 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C505870484 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C53565203 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C83002819 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConcept C86803240 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConceptScore W2949838081C105795698 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConceptScore W2949838081C107826830 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConceptScore W2949838081C121955636 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConceptScore W2949838081C126255220 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConceptScore W2949838081C12725497 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConceptScore W2949838081C130217890 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConceptScore W2949838081C149782125 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConceptScore W2949838081C153294291 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConceptScore W2949838081C162324750 @default.
• W2949838081 hasConceptScore W2949838081C18903297 @default.

• next