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- W2955973145 abstract "This study analyses how oil prices have been affected by three types of events that took place during the Great Recession: the development of fracking, wars in Libya, Syria and Ukraine and the stock market crash of 2008. To do this, we employ co-integration analysis, using a vector error correction model (VECM) for a period spanning August 2007 to August 2016. The principal results obtained are: firstly, that including a variable to represent the increase in production associated to fracking in the US improves the model’s long term estimation, as it embraces a new variable co-integrated in the long term; secondly, that the wars in Libya and Ukraine only influenced prices indirectly, insofar as the former sparked a reduction in OPEC production and the latter an increase in OECD oil reserves, both short term; and thirdly, that the stock market crash of 2008 led to a short- term reduction in oil prices." @default.
- W2955973145 created "2019-07-12" @default.
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- W2955973145 date "2018-01-01" @default.
- W2955973145 modified "2023-09-24" @default.
- W2955973145 title "Fracking, wars and stock market crashes. The price of oil during the great recession." @default.
- W2955973145 hasPublicationYear "2018" @default.
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