Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W2964368240> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 97 of
97
with 100 items per page.
- W2964368240 endingPage "8953" @default.
- W2964368240 startingPage "8939" @default.
- W2964368240 abstract "Multi-step time series forecasting (TSF) is a crucial element to support tactical decisions (e.g., designing production or marketing plans several months in advance). While most TSF research addresses only single-point prediction, prediction intervals (PIs) are useful to reduce uncertainty related to important decision making variables. In this paper, we explore a large set of neural network methods for multi-step TSF and that directly optimize PIs. This includes multi-step adaptations of recently proposed PI methods, such as lower–upper bound estimation (LUBET), its ensemble extension (LUBEXT), a multi-objective evolutionary algorithm LUBE (MLUBET) and a two-phase learning multi-objective evolutionary algorithm (M2LUBET). We also explore two new ensemble variants for the evolutionary approaches based on two PI coverage–width split methods (radial slices and clustering), leading to the MLUBEXT, M2LUBEXT, MLUBEXT2 and M2LUBEXT2 methods. A robust comparison was held by considering the rolling window procedure, nine time series from several real-world domains and with different characteristics, two PI quality measures (coverage error and width) and the Wilcoxon statistic. Overall, the best results were achieved by the M2LUBET neuroevolution method, which requires a reasonable computational effort for time series with a few hundreds of observations." @default.
- W2964368240 created "2019-08-13" @default.
- W2964368240 creator A5034339669 @default.
- W2964368240 creator A5077829125 @default.
- W2964368240 creator A5081140606 @default.
- W2964368240 date "2019-08-02" @default.
- W2964368240 modified "2023-10-16" @default.
- W2964368240 title "Multi-step time series prediction intervals using neuroevolution" @default.
- W2964368240 cites W1110161009 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W1534477342 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W1973682096 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2006706382 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2014529054 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2029497022 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2038994518 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2042506099 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2047508633 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2071370044 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2088538739 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2105119576 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2107376597 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2110510303 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2116661285 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2127474646 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2132477882 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2158698691 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2171658832 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2496780187 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2510651935 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2521607306 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2525601249 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2566234880 @default.
- W2964368240 cites W2742230720 @default.
- W2964368240 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00521-019-04387-3" @default.
- W2964368240 hasPublicationYear "2019" @default.
- W2964368240 type Work @default.
- W2964368240 sameAs 2964368240 @default.
- W2964368240 citedByCount "9" @default.
- W2964368240 countsByYear W29643682402020 @default.
- W2964368240 countsByYear W29643682402021 @default.
- W2964368240 countsByYear W29643682402022 @default.
- W2964368240 countsByYear W29643682402023 @default.
- W2964368240 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W2964368240 hasAuthorship W2964368240A5034339669 @default.
- W2964368240 hasAuthorship W2964368240A5077829125 @default.
- W2964368240 hasAuthorship W2964368240A5081140606 @default.
- W2964368240 hasBestOaLocation W29643682402 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C11413529 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C118070581 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C119857082 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C143724316 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C151406439 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C151730666 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C154945302 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C159149176 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C177264268 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C199360897 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C50644808 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C73555534 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConcept C86803240 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C11413529 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C118070581 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C119857082 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C143724316 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C151406439 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C151730666 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C154945302 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C159149176 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C177264268 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C199360897 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C41008148 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C50644808 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C73555534 @default.
- W2964368240 hasConceptScore W2964368240C86803240 @default.
- W2964368240 hasIssue "13" @default.
- W2964368240 hasLocation W29643682401 @default.
- W2964368240 hasLocation W29643682402 @default.
- W2964368240 hasOpenAccess W2964368240 @default.
- W2964368240 hasPrimaryLocation W29643682401 @default.
- W2964368240 hasRelatedWork W1632690555 @default.
- W2964368240 hasRelatedWork W2156223678 @default.
- W2964368240 hasRelatedWork W2242271381 @default.
- W2964368240 hasRelatedWork W2357809648 @default.
- W2964368240 hasRelatedWork W2378555542 @default.
- W2964368240 hasRelatedWork W2381421930 @default.
- W2964368240 hasRelatedWork W2990514669 @default.
- W2964368240 hasRelatedWork W4309045103 @default.
- W2964368240 hasRelatedWork W1629725936 @default.
- W2964368240 hasRelatedWork W2393723963 @default.
- W2964368240 hasVolume "32" @default.
- W2964368240 isParatext "false" @default.
- W2964368240 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W2964368240 magId "2964368240" @default.
- W2964368240 workType "article" @default.