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• W296510300 abstract "In the wake of Sept. 11, I see two clusters of implications for research-based firms. The first is new business. The enormous homeland defense budget covers research on equipment, detection devices, security technologies, and a lot more of everything else conventional. Although the scope and volume of research seem to have no clear links to a strategic plan, and the strategic purposes of homeland security are so secret that nothing has yet leaked out of government, it seems to me that the net effects will be conceptual stimuli to new developments, economic stimuli for regional economies, and a high-tech and mid-tech research bonanza. The second cluster of implications, in many regards more interesting, is the extent to which the research-based firm is a target for terrorism. It is easy to imagine chemical companies as a major manufacturing target because of the stuff they manufacture, process and handle. It's true that the facilities in which chemical manufacturing goes on benefit from decades of experience in anticipating and managing risks. But those risks have generally been framed around the irate or nutty employee, natural disasters, or what for want of a better term we might call conventional accidents. Now the R&D-based firm is at risk beyond those traditional concerns because processes and products are vulnerable to purposely planned, maximally destructive, sabotage or attack. Although planning for attacks may lead to changes in processes and products, the biggest risks for chemical firms are in transportation. Derailing a train is, to use the cliche, not rocket science, nor is highjacking a truck. I bin Laden Consider the rationale behind the terrorist's game. In March, I made a presentation entitled Were I bin Laden. It was built around the well-established principles of terrorism, of which three are basic and three are conditions for tactical success: 1. Demonstrate that the government cannot protect you. 2. Evoke as dramatic or extreme a response to the terrorist action as possible. 3. Use that response as a recruiting tool. 4. Have a specific target and objective. 5. Have the technical competence to meet the objective. 6. Have or be able to create access to the target. Add to these criteria the words from bin Laden himself that the United States is not his sole enemy. His general position is anti-West, and hence his scope is global. Consequently, highly symbolic targets, which are understood across a nation and across the globe, have particular appeal. Against this backdrop, let us put ourselves into the terrorist mind and imagine a couple of attractive potentials for attacks on research-based firms. First, the target, a manufacturing facility, must be close to large numbers of people in densely packed areas, so that the effects will be extreme and dramatic. This consideration makes most manufacturing facilities, because of their location, low-likelihood targets. But instead, think about trains loaded with chemicals being taken over on their way into the city and derailed close to center city, or in a high-density suburb, or in a tunnel, or in some other facility that would make access difficult, relief virtually impossible and foment chaos everywhere. As an alternative, ponder the hijacking of a few chemical-laden tank trucks in a metropolitan area. Do this in a synchronized way and head for the city center. Approximately one mile away, open the valves and let out the cargo while speeding on to the central location. Of a quite different sort, think about the 100 largest global companies operating in worlds 2 and 3. Identify 20 of the best known and most widely dispersed. Assassinate the top local official in one company, let us say on a Thursday afternoon. Repeat that for the next two weeks with different companies and in different places. Then announce assassination as a program to be carried forward for the indefinite future among the global 100. …" @default.
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• W296510300 date "2002-05-01" @default.
• W296510300 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
• W296510300 title "R&D Leaders Face a Post-9/11 World. (Looking Ahead)" @default.
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