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• W2968996896 abstract "Emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases pose major challenges to public health worldwide. Fortunately mathematical and statistical inference and simulation approaches are part of the toolkit for guiding prevention and response plans. As the recent 2013–2016 Ebola epidemic exemplified, an unfolding infectious disease outbreak often forces public health officials to put in place control policies in the context of limited data about the outbreak and in a changing environment where multiple factors positively or negatively impact local disease transmission. Hence, the development of public health policies could benefit from mathematically rigorous and computationally efficient approaches that comprehensively assimilate data and model uncertainty in real time in order to (1) estimate transmission rates, (2) assess the impact of control interventions (vaccination campaigns, behavior changes), (3) test hypotheses relating to transmission mechanisms, (4) evaluate how behavior changes affect transmission dynamics, (5) optimize the impact of control strategies, and (6) generate forecasts to guide interventions in the short and long terms." @default.
• W2968996896 created "2019-08-22" @default.
• W2968996896 creator A5000647003 @default.
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• W2968996896 date "2019-01-01" @default.
• W2968996896 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
• W2968996896 title "Characterizing Outbreak Trajectories and the Effective Reproduction Number" @default.
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• W2968996896 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-21923-9_8" @default.
• W2968996896 hasPublicationYear "2019" @default.
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