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- W297651036 abstract "A number of papers have studied factors which affect business cycle synchronization. The classical method was created in the paper of Frankel and Rose (1998). It established a pair-wise correlation model to test the impact of trade intensity. Recently, the factor model has gained more popularity in the business cycle synchronization issue; however, few researches have focused on China’s business cycle. In this paper, the factor model has been applied first to see the reactions of common shocks in China and some other countries. The result indicates that, unlike other countries, China does not behave according to the shocks. Then the similar pair-wise model is proposed to explain the business cycle correlation between China and its pair country. Surprisingly, the trade intensity and FDI fail to explain the variation in correlations. At the end, the causality test shows there is no significant causal effect between China and the world." @default.
- W297651036 created "2016-06-24" @default.
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- W297651036 date "2012-01-01" @default.
- W297651036 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W297651036 title "Can China Be the Engine of the World Economy? China Business Cycle Analysis" @default.
- W297651036 cites W2061830149 @default.
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- W297651036 doi "https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2304449" @default.
- W297651036 hasPublicationYear "2012" @default.
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