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- W2987233067 abstract "The paper studies a dynamic communication game in the presence of adverse selection and career concerns. A forecaster of privately known competence, who cares about his reputation, chooses the timing of the forecast regarding the outcome of some future event. We find that in all equilibria in a sufficiently general class earlier reports are more credible. Further, any report hurts the forecaster’s reputation in the short run, with later reports incurring larger penalties. The reputation of a silent forecaster, on the other hand, gradually improves over time." @default.
- W2987233067 created "2019-11-22" @default.
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- W2987233067 date "2019-11-11" @default.
- W2987233067 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W2987233067 title "Timing of predictions in dynamic cheap talk: experts vs. quacks" @default.
- W2987233067 doi "https://doi.org/10.5167/uzh-176854" @default.
- W2987233067 hasPublicationYear "2019" @default.
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