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- W2993875570 abstract "Forecasting space weather is an essential activity for increasing the resilience of moderntechnological infrastructure to hazards from the Sun. To provide an accurate forecast, space weathermonitors positioned at L5 are proposed that carry in situ plasma detectors. Here we use data fromthe STEREO and ACE missions to investigate how well it is possible to predict the solar wind when thereare two spacecraft located with the same longitudinal separation as from L5 to Earth. There are fourintervals when this is the case: STEREO-to-STEREO both on the Earth’s side and the far side of the Sun,STEREO-B to ACE and ACE to STEREO-A. We forecast the solar wind by mapping the observed solar windat the first spacecraft to the second using a time delay calculated using the spacecraft’s heliographiclongitudinal separation and the difference in radial distance from the Sun, allowing for the solar wind speed.Using forecasting skill scores, we find that the predicted and observed solar wind data are, in general,in very good agreement with each of the four periods, including observed corotating interaction regions.However, there are some notable exceptions when corotating interaction regions have been missed bythe forecast. The skill improves further for all time periods when removing coronal mass ejections, whichcannot be predicted in this method. We suggest that an L5 monitor should be located at the sameheliographic latitude as the Earth to optimize the forecasting ability of the monitor and to reducethe chance of missing important events" @default.
- W2993875570 created "2019-12-13" @default.
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- W2993875570 date "2017-04-01" @default.
- W2993875570 modified "2023-09-26" @default.
- W2993875570 title "Evaluating the skill of forecasts of the near-Earth solar wind using a space weather monitor at L5." @default.
- W2993875570 hasPublicationYear "2017" @default.
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