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- W3005714688 abstract "Using four decades of data, this exploratory empirical study adopts a loanable funds model to investigate the impact of the federal budget deficit in the U.S. on the ex ante real interest rate yield on ten-year Treasury notes. For the 40- year period 1973-2012, empirical estimation using quarterly data reveals that the ex ante real interest rate yield on ten-year U.S. Treasury notes was an increasing function of the ex ante real interest rate yield on Moody's Aaa-rated corporate bonds, the ex ante real interest rate yield on three-month Treasury bills, and the increase in per capita real GDP, while being a decreasing function of net capital inflows (as a percent of GDP) and the monetary base (as a percent of GDP). In addition, it is found that the federal budget deficit (as a percent of GDP) exercised a positive and statistically significant impact on the ex ante real interest rate yield on ten-year Treasury notes, a finding consistent in principle with a number of prior studies of various interest rate measures during shorter and earlier time periods. A robustness test using the ex ante real seven-year Treasury note yield and annual data supports these findings." @default.
- W3005714688 created "2020-02-24" @default.
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- W3005714688 date "2014-04-01" @default.
- W3005714688 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W3005714688 title "The Impact of Budget Deficits on the Ex Ante Real Interest Rate Yield on Long–Term Treasury Notes in the USA" @default.
- W3005714688 doi "https://doi.org/10.1332/251569214x15664520275048" @default.
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