Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W3013412588> ?p ?o ?g. }
Showing items 1 to 99 of
99
with 100 items per page.
- W3013412588 endingPage "510" @default.
- W3013412588 startingPage "497" @default.
- W3013412588 abstract "Malaria is a major public health problem in tropical and subtropical countries of the World. During the year 1999, Visakhapatnam district of Andhra Pradesh, India experienced a major epidemic of malaria, and nearly 41,805 cases were reported. Hence, a retrospective malaria surveillance study was conducted from 2001 to 2016 and reported nearly a total of 149,317 malaria cases during the study period. Of which, Plasmodium vivax contributes 32%, and Plasmodium falciparum contributes 68% of the total cases. Malaria cases follow a strong seasonal variation and 70% of cases are reported during the monsoon periods. In the present study, we exploited multi step polynomial regression and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) models to forecast the malaria cases in the study area. The polynomial model predicted malaria cases with high predictive power and found that malaria cases at lag one, and population played a vital role in malaria transmission. Similarly, mean temperature, rainfall and Normalized Difference Vegetation Index build a significant impact on malaria cases. The best fit model was SARIMA (1, 1, 2) (2, 1, 1)12 which was used for forecasting monthly malaria incidence for the period of January 2015 to December 2016. The performance accuracy of both models are similar, however lowest Akaike information criterion score was observed by the polynomial model, and this approach can be helpful further for forecasting malaria incidence to implement effective control measures in advance for combating malaria in India." @default.
- W3013412588 created "2020-04-03" @default.
- W3013412588 creator A5004747095 @default.
- W3013412588 creator A5008897188 @default.
- W3013412588 creator A5016584459 @default.
- W3013412588 creator A5047281540 @default.
- W3013412588 creator A5050365825 @default.
- W3013412588 date "2020-03-24" @default.
- W3013412588 modified "2023-10-12" @default.
- W3013412588 title "Climate based malaria forecasting system for Andhra Pradesh, India" @default.
- W3013412588 cites W1568128438 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W1587684816 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W1966708380 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W1984799410 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W1993277692 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W2018107044 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W2025695515 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W2027894375 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W2119523602 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W2300019532 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W2337514861 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W2610282565 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W2803442088 @default.
- W3013412588 cites W2943401779 @default.
- W3013412588 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/s12639-020-01216-6" @default.
- W3013412588 hasPubMedCentralId "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/7410916" @default.
- W3013412588 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32801501" @default.
- W3013412588 hasPublicationYear "2020" @default.
- W3013412588 type Work @default.
- W3013412588 sameAs 3013412588 @default.
- W3013412588 citedByCount "11" @default.
- W3013412588 countsByYear W30134125882021 @default.
- W3013412588 countsByYear W30134125882022 @default.
- W3013412588 countsByYear W30134125882023 @default.
- W3013412588 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
- W3013412588 hasAuthorship W3013412588A5004747095 @default.
- W3013412588 hasAuthorship W3013412588A5008897188 @default.
- W3013412588 hasAuthorship W3013412588A5016584459 @default.
- W3013412588 hasAuthorship W3013412588A5047281540 @default.
- W3013412588 hasAuthorship W3013412588A5050365825 @default.
- W3013412588 hasBestOaLocation W30134125882 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C126674687 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C144024400 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C149923435 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C151406439 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C203014093 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C24338571 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C2524010 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C2778048844 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C2778371730 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C2779997623 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C2908647359 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C61511704 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C71924100 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C86803240 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConcept C99454951 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C105795698 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C126674687 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C144024400 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C149923435 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C151406439 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C203014093 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C205649164 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C24338571 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C2524010 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C2778048844 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C2778371730 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C2779997623 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C2908647359 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C33923547 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C61511704 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C71924100 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C86803240 @default.
- W3013412588 hasConceptScore W3013412588C99454951 @default.
- W3013412588 hasIssue "3" @default.
- W3013412588 hasLocation W30134125881 @default.
- W3013412588 hasLocation W30134125882 @default.
- W3013412588 hasOpenAccess W3013412588 @default.
- W3013412588 hasPrimaryLocation W30134125881 @default.
- W3013412588 hasRelatedWork W1484561267 @default.
- W3013412588 hasRelatedWork W1982541999 @default.
- W3013412588 hasRelatedWork W2056915912 @default.
- W3013412588 hasRelatedWork W2509858822 @default.
- W3013412588 hasRelatedWork W2531486198 @default.
- W3013412588 hasRelatedWork W2912051271 @default.
- W3013412588 hasRelatedWork W2991676823 @default.
- W3013412588 hasRelatedWork W3010401902 @default.
- W3013412588 hasRelatedWork W3018160686 @default.
- W3013412588 hasRelatedWork W4306773330 @default.
- W3013412588 hasVolume "44" @default.
- W3013412588 isParatext "false" @default.
- W3013412588 isRetracted "false" @default.
- W3013412588 magId "3013412588" @default.
- W3013412588 workType "article" @default.