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- W3015204003 abstract "Abstract Every day the authorities of different countries provide an estimate of the number of persons affected by Covid-19 and a count of fatality. We propose to use the fatality reported in each country to provide a better estimate (C t0-estimated ) of the number of cases at a given time t 0 . With F t0 : number of actual fatalities reported in a country at time t 0 ; F r-est : estimated fatality rate; C (est-d) : estimated fatalities 18 days before t 0 ; C (est-3d) : estimated fatalities 21 days before t 0 . Based on C t0-estimated calculated using a fatality rate of 2%, we assessed the number of cases April 10 th , 2020 in Belgium, China, France, Germany, Iran, Italy, South Korea, Netherlands, Spain, United Kingdom and USA. This number reached 2,872,097 in France and 924,892 persons in Germany. The proposed formulas also make it possible to evaluate the impact of policies to prevent the spread of epidemic on the appearance of new cases." @default.
- W3015204003 created "2020-04-17" @default.
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- W3015204003 date "2020-04-11" @default.
- W3015204003 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W3015204003 title "ESTIMATION OF COVID-19 CASES IN FRANCE AND IN DIFFERENT COUNTRIES: HOMOGENEISATION BASED ON MORTALITY" @default.
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- W3015204003 doi "https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.04.07.20055913" @default.
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