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• W3015429483 abstract "We propose a tractable epidemic model that includes containment measures. In the absence of containment measures, the epidemics spread exponentially fast whenever the infectivity rate is positive, $lambda>0$. The containment measures are modeled by considering a time-dependent modulation of the bare infectivity $lambda$ leading to effective infectivity that decays in time for each infected individual, mimicking for instance the combined effect of the asymptomatic onset of the disease, testing policies and quarantine. We consider a wide range of temporal kernels for effective infectivity and we investigate the effect of the considered containment measures. We find that not all kernels are able to push the epidemic dynamics below the epidemic threshold, with some containment measures only able to reduce the rate of the exponential growth of newly infected individuals. We also propose a pandemic model caused by a growing number of separated foci." @default.
• W3015429483 created "2020-04-17" @default.
• W3015429483 creator A5020702999 @default.
• W3015429483 creator A5032602392 @default.
• W3015429483 date "2020-09-18" @default.
• W3015429483 modified "2023-10-16" @default.
• W3015429483 title "Epidemics with containment measures" @default.
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• W3015429483 doi "https://doi.org/10.1103/physreve.102.032305" @default.
• W3015429483 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/33075997" @default.
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