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• W3023516657 abstract "Urban land expansion is one of the most visible, irreversible, and rapid types of land cover/land use change in contemporary human history, and is a key driver for many environmental and societal changes across scales. Yet spatial projections of how much and where it may occur are often limited to short-term futures and small geographic areas. Here we produce a first empirically-grounded set of global, spatial urban land projections over the 21st century. We use a data-science approach exploiting 15 diverse datasets, including a newly available 40-year global time series of fine-spatial-resolution remote sensing observations. We find the global total amount of urban land could increase by a factor of 1.8-5.9, and the per capita amount by a factor of 1.1-4.9, across different socioeconomic scenarios over the century. Though the fastest urban land expansion occurs in Africa and Asia, the developed world experiences a similarly large amount of new development." @default.
• W3023516657 created "2020-05-13" @default.
• W3023516657 creator A5077201324 @default.
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• W3023516657 date "2020-05-08" @default.
• W3023516657 modified "2023-10-15" @default.
• W3023516657 title "Mapping global urban land for the 21st century with data-driven simulations and Shared Socioeconomic Pathways" @default.
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• W3023516657 doi "https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-020-15788-7" @default.
• W3023516657 hasPubMedCentralId "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/7210308" @default.
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