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- W3025984031 abstract "The objective of this paper is to forecast Indian population till the end of the present century and also an attempt has been made to explore the year in which youth population of India is maximum. Authors have also seen the pattern of age wise distribution of population and compare age structure of population in 2001 with 2096. In this study the most popular method of projection of population i.e. known as cohort component method is used to forecast the population of India. For this purpose a population at every five year interval is utilized with the valid assumptions of certain level of fertility and mortality, therefore this method is named as Dynamic Demographic Projection Model. Age Specific Fertility Rate (ASFR) for various years is taken from the NFHS-3 and 4 to forecast new arrivals. The study shows that the population of India will start decreasing nearby middle of the present century. However, it is observed that the total population in year 2101 is nearly same as the total population in year 2001, but interesting point is that the age structure of both the population found to be contradictory. Study shows that in future the number of higher age (70+) female will be more than the number of higher age (70+) male." @default.
- W3025984031 created "2020-05-21" @default.
- W3025984031 date "2020-04-01" @default.
- W3025984031 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W3025984031 title "POPULATION PROJECTION OF INDIA: AN APPLICATION OF DYNAMIC DEMOGRAPHIC PROJECTION MODEL" @default.
- W3025984031 doi "https://doi.org/10.31838/jcr.07.07.97" @default.
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