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- W3033503965 abstract "Abstract We have detected a regular component of the monitoring error of officially registered total cases of the spread of the current pandemic. This regular error component explains the reason for the failure of a priori mathematical modelling of probable epidemic events in different countries of the world. Processing statistical data of countries that have reached an epidemic peak has shown that this regular monitoring obeys a simple analytical regularity which allows us to answer the question: is this or that country that has already passed the threshold of the epidemic close to its peak or is still far from it?" @default.
- W3033503965 created "2020-06-12" @default.
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- W3033503965 date "2020-06-03" @default.
- W3033503965 modified "2023-10-03" @default.
- W3033503965 title "It’s the very time to learn a pandemic lesson: why have predictive techniques been ineffective when describing long-term events?" @default.
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- W3033503965 doi "https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.06.01.20118869" @default.
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