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- W3036398776 abstract "Our study aims to clarify the use of aggregate earnings to forecast future GDP growth. Using empirical analyses with global quarterly data, we investigate whether aggregate-level profitability drivers, which are components of aggregate earnings, are relevant for forecasting GDP growth. We confirm that aggregate-level profitability drivers are useful for forecasting future GDP growth worldwide.We also show that considering the effects of crises improves the forecast model of GDP growth. In addition, aggregate-level profitability drivers are observed to affect future market returns through the prediction of GDP growth in developed countries, but not in emerging countries." @default.
- W3036398776 created "2020-06-25" @default.
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- W3036398776 date "2019-01-01" @default.
- W3036398776 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
- W3036398776 title "Aggregate Earnings Informativeness and Economic Shock: International Evidence" @default.
- W3036398776 doi "https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3461082" @default.
- W3036398776 hasPublicationYear "2019" @default.
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