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- W3037300772 abstract "Regression models for supervised learning problems with a continuous target are commonly understood as models for the conditional mean of the target given predictors. This notion is simple and therefore appealing for interpretation and visualisation. Information about the whole underlying conditional distribution is, however, not available from these models. A more general understanding of regression models as models for conditional distributions allows much broader inference from such models, for example the computation of prediction intervals. Several random forest-type algorithms aim at estimating conditional distributions, most prominently quantile regression (Meinshausen, 2006, JMLR). We propose a novel approach based on a parametric family of distributions characterised by their function. A dedicated novel transformation tree algorithm able to detect distributional changes is developed. Based on these trees, we introduce transformation forests as an adaptive local likelihood estimator of conditional distribution functions. The resulting models are fully parametric yet very general and allow broad inference procedures, such as the model-based bootstrap, to be applied in a straightforward way." @default.
- W3037300772 created "2020-07-02" @default.
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- W3037300772 date "2017-01-09" @default.
- W3037300772 modified "2023-09-27" @default.
- W3037300772 title "Transformation Forests" @default.
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