FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W3038807872> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W3038807872 endingPage "129" @default.
• W3038807872 startingPage "101" @default.
• W3038807872 abstract "Abstract Understanding the state of the COVID‐19 pandemic relies on infection and mortality data. Yet official data may underestimate the actual cases due to limited symptoms and testing capacity. We offer a simulation‐based approach which combines various sources of data to estimate the magnitude of outbreak. Early in the epidemic we applied the method to Iran's case, an epicenter of the pandemic in winter 2020. Estimates using data up to March 20th, 2020, point to 916,000 (90% UI: 508 K, 1.5 M) cumulative cases and 15,485 (90% UI: 8.4 K, 25.8 K) total deaths, numbers an order of magnitude higher than official statistics. Our projections suggest that absent strong sustaining of contact reductions the epidemic may resurface. We also use data and studies from the succeeding months to reflect on the quality of original estimates. Our proposed approach can be used for similar cases elsewhere to provide a more accurate, early, estimate of outbreak state. © 2020 System Dynamics Society" @default.
• W3038807872 created "2020-07-10" @default.
• W3038807872 creator A5019451889 @default.
• W3038807872 creator A5078713927 @default.
• W3038807872 date "2020-01-01" @default.
• W3038807872 modified "2023-10-11" @default.
• W3038807872 title "Simulation‐based estimation of the early spread of <scp>COVID</scp>‐19 in Iran: actual versus confirmed cases" @default.
• W3038807872 cites W2011756067 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W2067055992 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W2145736592 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W2157725602 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W2801273721 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W2885353869 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W2892245061 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3003573988 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3006065484 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3008028633 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3008696669 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3008818676 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3008928028 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3008985036 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3010233963 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3010781325 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3012188173 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3012284084 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3012297079 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3012942528 @default.
• W3038807872 cites W3022857638 @default.
• W3038807872 doi "https://doi.org/10.1002/sdr.1655" @default.
• W3038807872 hasPubMedCentralId "https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/7361282" @default.
• W3038807872 hasPubMedId "https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/32834468" @default.
• W3038807872 hasPublicationYear "2020" @default.
• W3038807872 type Work @default.
• W3038807872 sameAs 3038807872 @default.
• W3038807872 citedByCount "58" @default.
• W3038807872 countsByYear W30388078722020 @default.
• W3038807872 countsByYear W30388078722021 @default.
• W3038807872 countsByYear W30388078722022 @default.
• W3038807872 countsByYear W30388078722023 @default.
• W3038807872 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W3038807872 hasAuthorship W3038807872A5019451889 @default.
• W3038807872 hasAuthorship W3038807872A5078713927 @default.
• W3038807872 hasBestOaLocation W30388078721 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C116675565 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C121332964 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C126691448 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C127413603 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C1276947 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C142724271 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C147176958 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C159047783 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C187736073 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C2779134260 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C3006700255 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C3007834351 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C3008058167 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C524204448 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C60859754 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C71924100 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C89623803 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConcept C96250715 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C105795698 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C116675565 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C121332964 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C126691448 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C127413603 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C1276947 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C142724271 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C147176958 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C149782125 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C159047783 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C162324750 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C187736073 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C205649164 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C2779134260 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C3006700255 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C3007834351 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C3008058167 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C33923547 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C41008148 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C524204448 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C60859754 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C71924100 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C89623803 @default.
• W3038807872 hasConceptScore W3038807872C96250715 @default.
• W3038807872 hasIssue "1" @default.
• W3038807872 hasLocation W30388078721 @default.
• W3038807872 hasLocation W30388078722 @default.
• W3038807872 hasLocation W30388078723 @default.
• W3038807872 hasLocation W30388078724 @default.
• W3038807872 hasLocation W30388078725 @default.
• W3038807872 hasOpenAccess W3038807872 @default.

• next