FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W3044376581> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W3044376581 endingPage "1927" @default.
• W3044376581 startingPage "1913" @default.
• W3044376581 abstract "Subseasonal forecasts are based on coupled general circulation models that often have a good representation of large-scale climate drivers affecting rainfall. Yet, they have more difficulty in providing accurate precipitation forecasts. This study proposes a statistical-dynamical post-processing scheme based on a bayesian framework to improve the quality of subseasonal forecasts of weekly precipitation. The method takes advantage of dynamically-forecast precipitation (calibration) and large-scale climate features (bridging) to enhance forecast skill through a statistical model. It is applied to the austral summer precipitation reforecasts in the southwest tropical Pacific, using the Météo-France and ECMWF reforecasts in the Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) database. The large-scale predictors used for bridging are climate indices related to El Niño Southern Oscillation and the Madden–Julian Oscillation, that are the major sources of predictability in the area. Skill is assessed with a Mean Square Skill Score for deterministic forecasts, while probabilistic forecasts of heavy rainfall spells are evaluated in terms of discrimination (ROC skill score) and reliability. This bayesian method leads to a significant improvement of all metrics used to assess probabilistic forecasts at all lead times (from week 1 to week 4). In the case of the Météo-France S2S system, it also leads to strong error reduction. Further investigation shows that the calibration part of the method, using forecast precipitation as a predictor, is necessary to achieve any improvement. The bridging part, and particularly the ENSO-related information, also provides additional discrimination skill, while the MJO-related information is not really useful beyond week 2 over the region of interest." @default.
• W3044376581 created "2020-07-29" @default.
• W3044376581 creator A5013161779 @default.
• W3044376581 creator A5077652809 @default.
• W3044376581 date "2020-07-22" @default.
• W3044376581 modified "2023-10-16" @default.
• W3044376581 title "Improving subseasonal precipitation forecasts through a statistical–dynamical approach : application to the southwest tropical Pacific" @default.
• W3044376581 cites W1488148038 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W1504495220 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W1849556524 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W1984004659 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2006617902 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2006647656 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2007397049 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2025453528 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2047634553 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2055257606 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2083389088 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2089636800 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2091072313 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2095797816 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2097668422 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2105929787 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2121745948 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2159765473 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2176050019 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2182664777 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2324453708 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2328176404 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2397311736 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2471266319 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2477038930 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2492339118 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2596520709 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2604634981 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2610217940 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2610464201 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2619582538 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2744934938 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2765619982 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2766099863 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2793609185 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2804439801 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2805123507 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2885383863 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2893278037 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2894254542 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2896132634 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2897667266 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2900522094 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2902837186 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2903578514 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2903758338 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2904281418 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2913017802 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2923848512 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2958396891 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2960668489 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W2981932352 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W3023430760 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W4236700646 @default.
• W3044376581 cites W4254259553 @default.
• W3044376581 doi "https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-020-05355-7" @default.
• W3044376581 hasPublicationYear "2020" @default.
• W3044376581 type Work @default.
• W3044376581 sameAs 3044376581 @default.
• W3044376581 citedByCount "15" @default.
• W3044376581 countsByYear W30443765812021 @default.
• W3044376581 countsByYear W30443765812022 @default.
• W3044376581 countsByYear W30443765812023 @default.
• W3044376581 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W3044376581 hasAuthorship W3044376581A5013161779 @default.
• W3044376581 hasAuthorship W3044376581A5077652809 @default.
• W3044376581 hasBestOaLocation W30443765812 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C107054158 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C107673813 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C10899652 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C117381296 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C127313418 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C140178040 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C153294291 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C154945302 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C170061395 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C197640229 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C39432304 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C49204034 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConcept C49937458 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConceptScore W3044376581C105795698 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConceptScore W3044376581C107054158 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConceptScore W3044376581C107673813 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConceptScore W3044376581C10899652 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConceptScore W3044376581C117381296 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConceptScore W3044376581C127313418 @default.
• W3044376581 hasConceptScore W3044376581C140178040 @default.

• next