FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W3088493171> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W3088493171 abstract "Online prediction markets are a powerful tool for aggregating information and show promise as predictive tools for uncertain outcomes, from sporting events to election results. However, these markets only serve as effective prediction tools so long as the market pricing remains efficient. We analyze the potential arbitrage profits derived from such mispricings in two leading American political prediction markets, PredictIt (for the 2016 and 2020 elections) and the Iowa Electronic Markets (for the 2016 election), to quantify the degree of mispricing and to show how market design can contribute to price distortion. We show that contracts hosted by PredictIt, compared to the IEM, are chronically mispriced, with large arbitrage profits in the 2016 election markets and non-negligible profits for the 2020 markets. We discuss the role of profit fees and contract limits, the primary differences between the PredictIt and IEM, in distorting pricing on PredictIt by limiting the ability of traders to capture arbitrage profits. Additionally, we examine the association between arbitrage and margin-linking, increased liquidity, and the number of unique contracts PredictIt's markets. This research provides cautionary evidence of potential inefficiencies in prediction markets with the intention of improving market implementation and enhancing market predictiveness." @default.
• W3088493171 created "2020-10-01" @default.
• W3088493171 creator A5004780010 @default.
• W3088493171 creator A5059238717 @default.
• W3088493171 date "2020-09-23" @default.
• W3088493171 modified "2023-09-30" @default.
• W3088493171 title "Arbitrage in Political Prediction Markets" @default.
• W3088493171 cites W1526874807 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W1965609999 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W1979406713 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W1984606044 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W1996000935 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W1998131483 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W1999909519 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2007180942 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2015736731 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2034592489 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2036229720 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2046782869 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2060281229 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2137036358 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2140728436 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2148919605 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2158120228 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2164780059 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2167833630 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2167866999 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2171580554 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2508319705 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2760944227 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2768143248 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2804376477 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2887729443 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W2952376432 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W3121654897 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W3121892970 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W3122314159 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W3122448887 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W3124024430 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W3125217951 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W3125571537 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W3125720594 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W3185998270 @default.
• W3088493171 cites W3121494327 @default.
• W3088493171 doi "https://doi.org/10.5750/jpm.v14i1.1796" @default.
• W3088493171 hasPublicationYear "2020" @default.
• W3088493171 type Work @default.
• W3088493171 sameAs 3088493171 @default.
• W3088493171 citedByCount "2" @default.
• W3088493171 countsByYear W30884931712021 @default.
• W3088493171 countsByYear W30884931712023 @default.
• W3088493171 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W3088493171 hasAuthorship W3088493171A5004780010 @default.
• W3088493171 hasAuthorship W3088493171A5059238717 @default.
• W3088493171 hasBestOaLocation W30884931711 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C10138342 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C106159729 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C106306483 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C119857082 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C126780896 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C127413603 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C144133560 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C160623529 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C183582576 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C188198153 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C189560676 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C194257627 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C2776257435 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C2779150987 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C2780021719 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C31258907 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C39658296 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C556758197 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C774472 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConcept C78519656 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C10138342 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C106159729 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C106306483 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C119857082 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C126780896 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C127413603 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C144133560 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C149782125 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C160623529 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C162324750 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C183582576 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C188198153 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C189560676 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C194257627 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C2776257435 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C2779150987 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C2780021719 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C31258907 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C39658296 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C41008148 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C556758197 @default.
• W3088493171 hasConceptScore W3088493171C774472 @default.

• next