FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W3096675498> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W3096675498 endingPage "634" @default.
• W3096675498 startingPage "613" @default.
• W3096675498 abstract "Abstract Global mean temperature change simulated by climate models deviates from the observed temperature increase during decadal-scale periods in the past. In particular, warming during the ‘global warming hiatus’ in the early twenty-first century appears overestimated in CMIP5 and CMIP6 multi-model means. We examine the role of equatorial Pacific variability in these divergences since 1950 by comparing 18 studies that quantify the Pacific contribution to the ‘hiatus’ and earlier periods and by investigating the reasons for differing results. During the ‘global warming hiatus’ from 1992 to 2012, the estimated contributions differ by a factor of five, with multiple linear regression approaches generally indicating a smaller contribution of Pacific variability to global temperature than climate model experiments where the simulated tropical Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) or wind stress anomalies are nudged towards observations. These so-called pacemaker experiments suggest that the ‘hiatus’ is fully explained and possibly over-explained by Pacific variability. Most of the spread across the studies can be attributed to two factors: neglecting the forced signal in tropical Pacific SST, which is often the case in multiple regression studies but not in pacemaker experiments, underestimates the Pacific contribution to global temperature change by a factor of two during the ‘hiatus’; the sensitivity with which the global temperature responds to Pacific variability varies by a factor of two between models on a decadal time scale, questioning the robustness of single model pacemaker experiments. Once we have accounted for these factors, the CMIP5 mean warming adjusted for Pacific variability reproduces the observed annual global mean temperature closely, with a correlation coefficient of 0.985 from 1950 to 2018. The CMIP6 ensemble performs less favourably but improves if the models with the highest transient climate response are omitted from the ensemble mean." @default.
• W3096675498 created "2020-11-09" @default.
• W3096675498 creator A5018808577 @default.
• W3096675498 creator A5063323899 @default.
• W3096675498 creator A5067939391 @default.
• W3096675498 creator A5090173820 @default.
• W3096675498 date "2020-10-28" @default.
• W3096675498 modified "2023-10-14" @default.
• W3096675498 title "Pacific variability reconciles observed and modelled global mean temperature increase since 1950" @default.
• W3096675498 cites W1518686455 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W1597462914 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W1895350643 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W1902640298 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W1968765709 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W1970327765 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W1970835560 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W1989120577 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W1991673575 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W1994973226 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2001061636 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2004147392 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2011068566 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2013513194 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2021057500 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2024966118 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2026320710 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2029444143 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2032517234 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2043292022 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2049451608 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2065670111 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2075999974 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2078768374 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2084542919 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2087676772 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2092497323 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2099469011 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2109960092 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2124140738 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2124901782 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2134634125 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2139356899 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2146487757 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2153463079 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2156928200 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2158960468 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2160449980 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2162548336 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2165242200 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2166608406 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2193503481 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2225312804 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2273747200 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2295705677 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2338005630 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2442930273 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2465323365 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2494715281 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2507325836 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2511784814 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2525773896 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2527902099 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2538529636 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2571024900 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2579657574 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2598686171 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2604433461 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2604582901 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2608898041 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2610782730 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2611772571 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2620879942 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2620973384 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2625872224 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2738516213 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2738817455 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2752872886 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2752891983 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2754496844 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2755472267 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2765976239 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2766579132 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2766932549 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2767934905 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2770037373 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2770624900 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2778175050 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2783633327 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2786249405 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2789458634 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2789807281 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2794459425 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2801715454 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2803561114 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2806912113 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2884620736 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2886845577 @default.
• W3096675498 cites W2887144228 @default.

• next