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- W3100804921 abstract "This paper investigates how the difference between firms' inflation expectations, measured by the loan amounts they demand, and actual inflation affects their employment. In addition, it examines the relationship between firms' inflation expectations and wages in an individualistic bargaining model. Theoretically, the model shows that a firm's actual labor demand meets its expected labor demand if the firm has a rational expectation regarding inflation. On the other hand, the firm's actual labor demand deviates from its expected labor demand if the firm cannot forecast inflation correctly. Empirically, using firm-level data from a province in Iran between 2004 and 2011, the model's predictions have been tested. The empirical results confirm that there is a specific loan amount for which firms' expected employments meet their actual ones. In contrast, there is a gap between firms' expected employments and their actual ones for any other loan amount. Furthermore, the result indicates that there is a positive and significant relationship between the loan amounts demanded by firms and wages. These results can be explained by firms' inflation expectations that show they are not consistent with full-information rational expectations models, though they are not far away from them." @default.
- W3100804921 created "2020-11-23" @default.
- W3100804921 creator A5021261196 @default.
- W3100804921 date "2020-01-01" @default.
- W3100804921 modified "2023-09-23" @default.
- W3100804921 title "Do Firms’ Inflation Expectations Matter in Their Employment and Wages? A Causal Evidence" @default.
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- W3100804921 doi "https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3575169" @default.
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