FRINK Linked Data Fragments server

Matches in SemOpenAlex for { <https://semopenalex.org/work/W3117629188> ?p ?o ?g. }

• W3117629188 endingPage "75" @default.
• W3117629188 startingPage "63" @default.
• W3117629188 abstract "Purpose. The paper’s purpose is to analyze and predict the food security index in Ukraine and to estimate the risk level of its reduction.&#x0D; Methodology / approach. The following models are used for forecasting: the Holt’s two-parameter model – to forecast the dynamics of caloric content of the daily diet and integral food security index; the ARIMA model – for modeling the food economic affordability. The autocorrelation function structure analysis is used to determine the adequacy of the models. The article discusses the procedure of assessing food security risk based on the properties of the econometric forecast error. The annual data of Ukraine were used for assessing the forecasts for the time interval between 1995 and 2018. &#x0D; Results. The paper presents the results of predicting the food security index in the context of macroeconomic instability. The trend (deterministic) and random components for the level of calorie consumption are revealed. The forecast of food availability is presented. The forecast estimates of the Food Security Index of Ukraine for the period up to 2022 are considered. The assessment of price elasticities, household incomes and inflation for basic food products is made. As a result of assessing the level of macroeconomic instability, the structural elements of food security for Ukraine were identified. The article assesses the dynamics of changes in consumption of certain commodity items of foodstuff as components of food security. There is a creation of an alternative methodology for forecasting individual economic indices in the absence of stable trends in the economy of the country based on the use of econometric analysis proposed in the research. It substantiates the use of multi-step methods of forecasting economic indices. It is proved that the integrated forecast of the food security index of Ukraine is in satisfactory state and shows a slight upward trend during the period 2020–2022, but the risks of a decline in the integral index are somewhere beyond satisfactory.&#x0D; Originality / scientific novelty. The results of the individual food security indices forecast, and the integral Food Security Index of Ukraine analysis it is possible to state a satisfactory condition that is unlikely to change in the near future. The alternative forecasting method for individual economic parameters in conditions of the unstable national economy trends is firstly proposed.&#x0D; Practical value / implications. The reported forecast values indicate a decrease in the adequacy of consumption for most foodstuffs. This is most pronounced for the consumption of products of animal origin, which are far from the norm. The non-structural forecasts indicate current trends in the state of food security, which will persist if the impact on the food system by the general state of the country's economy remains unchanged. The main results of the study can be used to estimate the food affordability risks and risks of health deterioration for the population." @default.
• W3117629188 created "2021-01-05" @default.
• W3117629188 creator A5021935640 @default.
• W3117629188 creator A5036059877 @default.
• W3117629188 creator A5052100456 @default.
• W3117629188 creator A5062083843 @default.
• W3117629188 creator A5086230633 @default.
• W3117629188 date "2020-12-20" @default.
• W3117629188 modified "2023-09-25" @default.
• W3117629188 title "Food security risk in Ukraine: assessment and forecast" @default.
• W3117629188 cites W1556926196 @default.
• W3117629188 cites W1564210658 @default.
• W3117629188 cites W1989879745 @default.
• W3117629188 cites W1992359824 @default.
• W3117629188 cites W2052259523 @default.
• W3117629188 cites W2099520293 @default.
• W3117629188 cites W2122050911 @default.
• W3117629188 cites W2134938466 @default.
• W3117629188 cites W2141931154 @default.
• W3117629188 cites W2605265678 @default.
• W3117629188 cites W2991667933 @default.
• W3117629188 cites W3000132532 @default.
• W3117629188 cites W4239831032 @default.
• W3117629188 doi "https://doi.org/10.51599/are.2020.06.04.04" @default.
• W3117629188 hasPublicationYear "2020" @default.
• W3117629188 type Work @default.
• W3117629188 sameAs 3117629188 @default.
• W3117629188 citedByCount "7" @default.
• W3117629188 countsByYear W31176291882021 @default.
• W3117629188 countsByYear W31176291882022 @default.
• W3117629188 countsByYear W31176291882023 @default.
• W3117629188 crossrefType "journal-article" @default.
• W3117629188 hasAuthorship W3117629188A5021935640 @default.
• W3117629188 hasAuthorship W3117629188A5036059877 @default.
• W3117629188 hasAuthorship W3117629188A5052100456 @default.
• W3117629188 hasAuthorship W3117629188A5062083843 @default.
• W3117629188 hasAuthorship W3117629188A5086230633 @default.
• W3117629188 hasBestOaLocation W31176291881 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C105795698 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C118518473 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C136764020 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C144024400 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C149782125 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C151406439 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C162324750 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C166957645 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C180075932 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C205649164 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C24338571 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C2777382242 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C2779343474 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C30772137 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C33923547 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C36289849 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C41008148 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConcept C549605437 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C105795698 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C118518473 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C136764020 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C144024400 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C149782125 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C151406439 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C162324750 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C166957645 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C180075932 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C205649164 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C24338571 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C2777382242 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C2779343474 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C30772137 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C33923547 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C36289849 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C41008148 @default.
• W3117629188 hasConceptScore W3117629188C549605437 @default.
• W3117629188 hasIssue "4" @default.
• W3117629188 hasLocation W31176291881 @default.
• W3117629188 hasLocation W31176291882 @default.
• W3117629188 hasOpenAccess W3117629188 @default.
• W3117629188 hasPrimaryLocation W31176291881 @default.
• W3117629188 hasRelatedWork W1849770613 @default.
• W3117629188 hasRelatedWork W1973182693 @default.
• W3117629188 hasRelatedWork W2023446719 @default.
• W3117629188 hasRelatedWork W2039914083 @default.
• W3117629188 hasRelatedWork W2121432353 @default.
• W3117629188 hasRelatedWork W2134459967 @default.
• W3117629188 hasRelatedWork W3022349293 @default.
• W3117629188 hasRelatedWork W3119996120 @default.
• W3117629188 hasRelatedWork W3123401114 @default.
• W3117629188 hasRelatedWork W106119113 @default.
• W3117629188 hasVolume "6" @default.
• W3117629188 isParatext "false" @default.
• W3117629188 isRetracted "false" @default.
• W3117629188 magId "3117629188" @default.
• W3117629188 workType "article" @default.